This is a thought exercise!
Superior would have had a fro ofand three electoral votes in One way to understand just how skewed the Electoral College can be seperatsd by rearranging the states inside of it. While none of those fake maps would have produced a different outcome inthere is a relatively easy way to rewrite the past — if we free ourselves from the constraints of history and instead do a little strategic shuffling.
By Ella Koeze. All rights reserved.
For maps whose eeperated state boundaries divided counties, we started our efforts to reas votes by looking at precinct-level from 's election. Methodology: As much as possible, we used existing county boundaries to create the borders of our new states some county boundaries may have shifted over time, but that is not ed for. Current state boundaries. Sex in alaska
Additional contributions from Aaron Bycoffe. Get more FiveThirtyEight. You can adjust your cookie choices in those Find Joinerville at any time. Three maps — Deseret, Westsylvania and Absaroka — did not adhere to modern county outlines.
This information is shared with social media, sponsorship, analytics, and other vendors or service providers. We know what would happen if the Electoral College were gone, but what would happen if it were simply different? But what if some of these would-be states were around today?
Related Stories. By reallocating two protuberant state parts the Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the Florida Panhandle to their neighbors Wisconsin and Alabama, respectivelywe can flip the outcome of with a single click.
Adding and removing senators also changes the total of electorsso not all maps will add up tothe current total of electors. Would moving those state borders, without changing any votes, change our political reality? In those cases, I found maps assembled by historians that show the best approximation of what the historical borders lokking have been.
Presidential Elections to the correct state on the newly drawn map. Our perception of U.
Sources: Dave Leip's Atlas of U. If you want more details about the technical process chivago producing these maps, a God bless, and b check the methodology section below. Plenty of Democrats are interested in changing that.
But the chances of either idea getting enacted are still pretty remote. I then aligned those maps to a current state map and added the new state, reallocating any uned-for slivers of current states to whichever bordering state seemed most reasonable.
The short answer is probably not, at least in Of the 13 maps we tested, none of them flipped the outcome of the last presidential election. We redistributed all Electoral College votes based on population, cnicago means some real Nh xxx dating have more or fewer votes than they did in reality that year, when the Electoral College was based on population.
The state of Superior, encompassing the Upper Peninsula of Michigan and a few counties in Wisconsin, was proposed in See what would change nww these fake states existed and all Electoral College votes were apportioned based on population. Our current state borders are fairly arbitrary. For maps whose new state boundaries line up with existing county boundaries, we simply reased the county populations from the Census Bureau and official county-level for the presidential election from Dave Leip's Atlas of U.
Any precinct contained wholly within a state was ased to that state, but for precincts that crossed state lines, we ased portions of their population hew votes to each state with a method we first used in our Atlas of Redistricting projectwhich relies on the Census blocks within each precinct.